Today’s KY Derby
I never pick the favorites in the Derby - too many horses and too much uncertainty to go with short prices. I look for value in my pick - a horse with long odds that has shown some promise.
I’m going with Smooth Air to win. He ran 2nd in the FL Derby to today’s favorite Big Brown. He’s never finished worse than 3rd in 7 career starts. His speed numbers continue to look good as he goes to longer distances, which might indicate that he favors the 1 1/4. Only concern is that he had a mild fever this week, but trainer feels he’s ready.
Order of finish:
1. Smooth Air
2. Big Brown
3. Pyro
4. Eight Belles
I think the filly Eight Belles has a decent shot based on her speed numbers, and she’s a big enough girl to survive a few bumps along the way.
Personally, I wouldn’t mind seeing Pyro take it. Always good publicity for the Fair Grounds when the LA Derby winner takes a Triple Crown race.
